Assigning a Numerical Probability Example: You calculate there is only a 20% chance of a leading overseas competitor entering your market, and then base your marketing plan on this estimate. Your assumption turns out wrong. There is little budget left to offset this threat. Giving into Group Think Example: 9/10 respondents you speak to expect your competitor to launch within the next 4 months. The 10th (a rep) says it will be delayed for a year. You assume the majority are correct and initiate a counter plan (e.g. hiring more reps, updating sales messaging). However, that one rep is correct. Your increased spending is for naught. Pursuing CI as A Market… Read More
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